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Söndag 21 juli 2019
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2019-06-27

En börsguru

Klippt från Hussman.

HUSSMAN (EN BÖRSGURU)
Why a 60-65% Market Loss Would Be Run-Of-The-Mill.

Except for the 2000-2002 bear market, which ended at valuations that were still about 25% above historical norms, every other bear market decline in history, including the 2007-2009 decline, has taken reliable valuation measures to historical norms that presently stand between -60% and -65% below present market levels.  

The primary importance of internals here is to discourage fighting the market with a hard-negative near-term outlook until speculative psychology again shifts toward risk-aversion. 

The May comment also includes an analysis of the Federal budget deficit and its relationship with economic growth, the GDP output gap, and subsequent inflation risk. 

 
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